Assessment Of The Consequences Of The Deterioration Of The Epidemiological Situation During Hostilities

Abstract

The aim: Scientific substantiation of the methodology for predicting the consequences of the worsening of the epidemic situation on the territory of Ukraine during military operations for the timely adoption of measures for the medical protection of military personnel in conditions of biological contamination. Materials and methods: Determination and generalization of the impact of biological contamination due to the use of biological weapons were carried out considering the main determinants of the epidemic process using the index and coefficient of medical protection. Applied methods of scientific research: epidemiological, system, and information approach. Results: The authors proposed indicators that consider the pathogenicity of the infectious agent, contagiousness, the degree of non-specific protection of servicemen, specific protection of servicemen, and the sanitary-epidemiological state of the area of operations of troops (forces). Relevant epidemic situations were simulated, and the index and coefficient of medical protection were calculated to predict the consequences of the worsening of the epidemic situation to make timely decisions regarding the implementation of medical protection measures for military personnel in conditions of biological contamination during the repulsion of armed aggression. Conclusions: In the conditions of biological contamination, when biological weapons and biological terrorism are used, the epidemic process in the army is intensified, which requires timely decisions regarding the implementation of medical protection measures for military personnel in conditions of biological contamination.